Monday, February 15, 2016

Are John Wall's 20 Points Per Game Helping The Wizards?

Washington Wizards point guard John Wall is averaging 20 points per game this season.  The Wiz are a good shooting team and Wall's scoring total is best on the squad so he must be having a good season.

Right?

Randy Wittman has seven players on his team who are at least league average shooters.  They are led by forward Jared Dudley who ranks 16th in the NBA in 'Points Above Average' while sporting a 116 True Shooting+.  Add another nice year from big man Marcin Gortat (106 TS+) and you have the makings a really nice scoring team.

But there is a mix-up in the back-court.



The three other guards, Ramon Sessions, Bradley Beal and Gary Neal have earned the team 72 points above league average with their shooting.
 


POINTS ABOVE TRUE POINTS/ TRUE SHOT

NBA AVERAGE SHOOTING+ GAME ATTEMPTS/GAME





Ramon Sessions 33 107 10 9
Bradley Beal 25 105 19 17
Gary Neal 14 104 10 9
John Wall -48 96 20 19


You can see from the chart above that Wall has given back most of those 72 points with his slightly below average shot.

If the former #1 overall pick improves just a little bit it could make a huge difference in Washington's offense.  If not, his usage rate will be a slow and quiet drain on their efforts to get the 8th playoff spot in the East.